Market Power and Forward Prices

Inferring Forward Looking Financial Market Risk Premia from Derivatives Prices

This paper focuses on a topical and important area of theory and practice ie. The risk premium in financial markets. While there exists a vast amount of research into its behaviour, particularly in US markets, this is largely based on regression based techniques which do not capture well the dynamic and forward looking nature of the risk premium. In this paper the time variation of the unobserv...

Supra-Competitive Prices and Market Power in Posted-Offer Experiments

This paper reports the results of a series of posted-offer experiments designed to examine the effects of static market power on prices, when other factors such as excess supply, the number of sellers, and dynamic incentives are held constant. Static market power results in a dramatic price increase in posted-offer triopolies with complete demand information. The effects of market power are not...

Market power and mergers in laboratory markets with posted prices

This paper uses laboratory methods to evaluate determinants of supra-competitive pricing. The experiment involves three treatments, each with the same market supply, demand, and competitive price. In the baseline treatment, capacity is divided among five sellers so that the competitive price is a Nash equilibrium. Market power is created in a second treatment by reallocating capacity among the ...

Sticky prices, inventories, and market power in wholesale gasoline markets

A model with costly adjustment of production and costly inventories implies that wholesale gasoline prices will respond with a lag to crude oil cost shocks. Unlike explanations that rely upon menu costs, imperfect information, or long-term buyer/seller relationships, this model also predicts that futures prices for gasoline will adjust incompletely to crude oil price shocks that occur close to ...

Power Prices – A Regime - Switching Spot / Forward Price Model